無人機成印巴對抗新主軸　印度國防預算大增三倍強化空防壓制

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印度政府近期核准一筆高達46億美元的緊急軍備預算，重點投入無人機與電子戰系統，為近年來最大規模的單次國防追加支出之一。
India’s Ministry of Defence has approved a $4.6 billion emergency procurement package, with a significant portion allocated to UAV and electronic warfare systems—marking one of its largest recent defense budget surges.

根據Drone Federation India估計，印度未來一至兩年在無人機領域的總投入將達4.7億美元，是過去常態預算的三倍。
Drone Federation India estimates that India’s UAV spending over the next 1–2 years will reach $470 million, nearly tripling its pre-conflict baseline.

本土廠商如 ideaForge 及 NewSpace 積極投入滯空彈藥與抗干擾模組研發，期望打造具備實戰彈性與電子防護能力的新一代無人機平台。
Domestic players such as ideaForge and NewSpace are accelerating the development of loitering munitions and anti-jamming modules, aiming to deliver combat-ready and EW-resilient drone platforms.

相較之下，巴基斯坦則強化與中國及土耳其合作，並加快與 Baykar 共同生產的 YIHA-III 系列無人機的量產速度。巴方聲稱，有機型已可做到「兩至三日完成一架」。
Pakistan, meanwhile, has deepened collaboration with China and Turkey, notably ramping up joint production of the Baykar YIHA-III series. Officials claim some UAV variants can now be produced in just 2–3 days.

雖然巴基斯坦目前僅擁有約20架 J-10 高階戰機，遠低於印度的 Rafale 數量（至少36架），但無人機正逐漸成為平衡空優與彌補資訊戰力的核心。
With only around 20 J-10 advanced fighters compared to India’s 36 Rafales, Pakistan is increasingly relying on UAVs to bridge the airpower and ISR gap.

據報導，巴方曾在邊界一次部署300至400架無人機，對印軍沿1,700公里邊境36處據點進行壓力測試，目的在於不升高衝突風險的前提下釋放武力訊號。
Reports indicate that Pakistan deployed 300–400 drones in a single maneuver along 36 locations across the 1,700-km border, aiming to signal strength without escalating into direct conflict.

印度則動用以色列HAROP、波蘭Warmate與本土自主機型進行針對性反制，雙方均利用無人機進行準軍事施壓，試圖在不派遣飛行員的情況下發出明確政治訊號。
India responded with Israeli HAROPs, Polish Warmates, and indigenous UAVs to launch targeted countermeasures. Both sides are using drones as strategic tools for coercion without risking pilot exposure.

倫敦政治學者Walter Ladwig III分析指出：「無人機使領導人能展示決心而不必付出過高政治與軍事代價。」
Walter Ladwig III of King’s College London noted: “Drones give leaders a means to demonstrate resolve without the political or human cost of deploying troops.”

儘管印度積極扶植本土無人機工業，但目前仍有關鍵零件嚴重依賴中國進口，包括稀土磁材與鋰電池材料。一旦供應中斷，將直接衝擊國防自主性。
Despite efforts to localize drone production, India remains heavily reliant on Chinese imports for critical components such as rare earth magnets and lithium battery materials—posing a strategic vulnerability.

ideaForge主管Saxena坦言：「這不是短期可以解決的問題。」而「供應鏈去風險化」與戰略自主也已成為印度軍用無人機政策的長期核心。
“This isn’t something we can fix overnight,” admitted ideaForge executive Saxena, acknowledging that de-risking the UAV supply chain is now a long-term policy imperative.